The Bryson DeChambeau … uh, Rocket Mortgage Classic kicks off this week at Detroit Golf Club, and as usual we’ll take care of you ahead of the event. My tournament preview will prepare you for the course itself, and where I see important holes throughout each round. Matt Vincenzi smashes some of his favorite bets in his statistics that matter play, and Landon Silinski gives us his beloved cash games at FantasyLabs.
I will personally look closely at players who are strong birds, confident in their Par 5 scores and have excellent approach skills, especially within 150 yards. you can use FantasyLabs PGA Models find value and create your own models with dozens of filters.
We saw that almost all approaches on this course over two years come from this range, which is ultimately a wedge game for these TOUR players. This is a tournament that has averaged 24 points less than the champion in two years, and there is no reason to believe this week’s winning score will be lower in the softer conditions at the Detroit golf club.
My focus on GPP this week will be around the now standard $ 15 PGA TOUR with a $ 750,000 flop buy-in at DraftKings. They will bid $ 200,000 for first place with 58,823 entries. Getting rid of this will take strong line-up formation, and that’s the goal of this article this week. Let’s move on to the selection.
Bryson DeShambeau (Danish $ 11,400 / FD $ 12,200)
This week I actually put everything on Bryson. I just think this is a week so as not to get hung up on the process. Ignore the fact that he may own 30% of the shares and I will either completely block him or this week he will own at least 70% of all my lineups. This course is designed with his style of play in mind, and while the final results are not entirely clear to him in recent tournaments, he has played quite solidly since the US Open. I don’t have much to add here, pin down the likely winner and then move on to finding five guys who can tell you apart from the field.
Hideki Matsuyama (DKK 10,400 / FD 11,900)
It looks like one of the five-figure DK players that might go unnoticed is former Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama. I will be looking for Bryson pairs with multiple players, and I see enough value in the lower range for me to be able to drop normally to that low in this field. On FD, Hideki is the second most expensive player and fourth in DraftKings, which makes him more interesting to me on the last site. He completed T21 and T13 in the two years he played at the Detroit Golf Club. Matsuyama is clearly in a different space with his game, probably still at the peak of his first big win, and his game is still in solid form. If I can get him to have less possession than those around him, he will be my second player in the squad this week.
Kevin Kisner (DKK 8,500 / FD $ 11,100)
Another big discrepancy between the two sites has to do with Kevin Kisner, who finally showcased some form on The Travelers. He is one of the more expensive FanDuel players, which will certainly help with possession, but also put him on a slightly different level. It’s much more convenient for me to go to him at DraftKings.
At this point in the week, varying levels of ownership are displayed, but I expect to see Keese owning around 10% as he won’t score well in statistical models. He relies more on his strengths in the short field from par 72, which in the first two years has shown that it is a little more difficult. He is obviously very different from Bryson, but the leaderboards show quite a few successful players, as most evidenced by Nate Lashley’s win in 2019. I will be mixing and matching games this week, and of course Kisner will be in that mix.
Brandt Snedeker (DKK 7,700 / FD $ 9,800)
To me this game is similar to the Kiesner game described above, as Brandt Snedecker is known as a sturdy stick. His other strength is his short irons, and both will be key this week at the Detroit golf club. Sneeds has been up and down, and maybe going in the wrong direction, but this is a very different event than what he played in the last weeks, and I come back to him here, and even made him my choice to win… He has over nine shots in six rounds on this field, and with his birdie and par 5 ability, he has solid winning parity and fantasy upside potential this week.
Seamus Power (DKK 7,500 / FD $ 9,200)
I hope Power’s ownership will decline as he entered the field late after Charlie Hoffman left. Power comes out of three straight hits in the top twenty, including the top ten by Byron Nelson. He finished 12th in this event last year and seems to be a good fit for the track along with his hot form. If he continues to get hit by the radar, he will be the delimiter for my Bryson trains this week.
Cameron Davis (DKK 7,200 / FD $ 8,700)
At the bird festival, where players will have ample opportunity to surpass their finishing position, I will always be interested in Cam Davis. The Aussie is very volatile as he can run out of bird strips and then find trouble for a take, but while he spends the weekend at the event, he will almost certainly pay his salary at both sites. He hasn’t had great results in a recent game, which will hopefully lower his possession a bit, and it’s an added bonus that he strongly prefers the field greens he’s seeing this week.
Doug Gim (DKK 7,000 / FD $ 8,500)
This looks like a missing price for Doug Gym this week, but it may also be that I consider him a better player than most. It even came close to big events like The Players this year, which made me question its low price this week. I like Gym better in the low-performing events we’ll see this week, especially in tournaments like Detroit Golf Club, where it has little water to get into trouble. I’m playing on the ex Longhorn this week and I feel pretty good, which is usually not very good.
Scott Pearcy (DKK 6,800 / FD $ 8,000)
It was shocking to see Piercy in this range, which I expected to be with a few guys. Scott certainly doesn’t fit that shape, but he squeezed a couple of Top 20 finals around missed cuts, and that’s the real upside we want in this range. This will be his first trip to Rocket Mortgage, but he loves birds and does a good job with Par 5s. If he can do it this week, he will score enough points to become a great DFS player just by finding the weekend.
Tom Hoge (DKK 6,700 / FD 7,600)
Let’s go back to the beginning of the season with Tom Hoge, a great iron player. I often look in these outstanding categories for the players in the cheapest price range, and for Hoge, I know that he will give himself a chance to score, and then we just have to put in a lot of effort to get through enough to play the role. He’s also a guy who just needs to play four rounds.
Vincent Wailey (DKK 6,500 / FD 7,700)
Whaley has been a popular cheap game in recent tournaments, but when he finally skipped a cut on Palmetto and again last week, he went into low participation territory again. It is of course worrying that he is losing more than two hits when approaching in three of the last four rounds, but he has the ability to fight in this event and on the field. I expect to see him again this weekend and has the ability to do birdies and score Par 5 points to be a good part of your lineups this week.